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Is Your Synthetic Motor Oil
Really Synthetic?
There is a disturbing trend
in the oil industry that is misleading consumers. That trend
is the playing of word games with the use of the word “synthetic”
on motor oil labels.
The following article is a reprint
from the August 2000 issue of “Lubricants World”, an oil industry
trade magazine. This information is usually not available
to most consumers.
AMSOIL continues to use the
highest quality basestocks in its motor oils and will always
put quality and performance before price. AMSOIL costs more
than other brands but you always get more for your money than
you will with the other brands. That is why AMSOIL outperforms
the other brands in the NOACK Volatility Test and the Four-Ball
Wear Test. THAT is why AMSOIL is THE extended drain oil. AMSOIL
is the “TRUE” synthetic.
Subject: Article
in Lubricants World August 2000 by Katherine Bui
Marketers Take Advantage of "Synthetic" Ruling
Last year, Castrol (Swingdon,
U.K.) and Mobil (Fairfax, VA) brought the debate over what
is “synthetic” into view, as Mobil challenged Castrol’s replacement
of polyalphaolephins (PAOs) with hydroisomerized waxes in
their synthetic formulations. Exactly one year after the National
Advertising Division (NAD) of the Council of Better Business
Bureaus’ ruling in April 1999, upholding Castrol’s position
that wax isomerates could be called synthetic, Petro-Canada
(Toronto) advertised it would be referring to its very high
viscosity index (VHVI) basestocks as a synthetic in the North
American market. These products fall into the same API group
(Group III) as wax isomerates, but could vary significantly
in quality from wax isomerates. This market roar by Petro-Canada
has carried a quiet undertone of moves from PAO to VHVI technology
by several engine oil marketers.
The definition of synthetics
aside, cost factors and performance continue to drive marketers
to carefully asses the use of PAOs and Group III stocks (VHVIs).
In the past year, several marketers have made the jump from
PAOs to VHVI-based “synthetics.” VHVIs cost approximately
half what PAOs do and, according to VHVI producers, perform
at a level comparable to PAOs in formulated oils. Yet, Mobil
1, which has the strongest hold on the synthetic market (estimated
by one analyst at 60.4%) and factory-fill contracts with Corvette
and Porsche, continues to dominate the overall synthetic market
with its PAO technology. On the other hand, Castrol, whose
market share of Syntec synthetic oil was virtually nonexistent
6 years ago, now has more than 20% of the market.
Even
ExxonMobil could not resist the appeal of competitive pricing.
It released a new synthetic blend that combines PAO technology
with a “high-quality conventional oil” in February.
If the market projections are
any indicator, simply using the word “synthetic”
in any shape or fashion may guarantee a piece of the pie.
Synthetics and semi-synthetics make up only a niche 3%-6%
of the automotive oil market (June LW, p.30). ExxonMobil
holds the largest share in the market, followed by Castrol,
Pennzoil-Quaker State, and Valvoline.
Demand, however is expected
to grow 5.7% per year, to 115 million gallons in 2003, because
of increased desire for high-performance products, longer
drain intervals, and lower emission formulations, according
to estimates from The Freedonia Group (Cleveland). However,
at least on market analysis says the consumer’s lack
of knowledge about synthetics and the higher cost of the finished
product compared with conventional oil are not conductive
to growth. The overall conventional motor oil market is projected
to remain flat.
Making the Move from
PAO to VHVI
Current market trends, cost,
and the “open-door” policy established by the
NAD ruling have attracted a number of marketers this past
year to the VHVI technology and use of the term “synthetic.”
Castrol’s substitution
of wax isomerates for PAO after December 1997 was the basis
of the contoversal ruling by the NAD regarding the marketing
use of the word “synthetics.” But with its buyout
by BP Amoco, Castrol may have to re-evaluate the components
of its formulation relative to the value of supply chain.
BP has been one of the larger refiners and producers of PAO.
LW was unable to obtain comments from Castrol at press time.
However, BP Amoco Chemicals’
Joe Svoboda, PAO market manager, says, “Castrol has
basically been set up as a stand alone business unit within
BP. Its position on Group III vs. Group IV will be based on
what is best for its business.” He notes that “Castrol
is a leading global marketer of high-performance lubricants.
Its position on PAO likely differs from region to region –
particularly in Europe, where stringent lubricant performance
requirements often mandate the use of PAO.”
Brent Lok, production manager
for base oils at Chevron Products Co. (San Ramon, CA), says,
“We struggle with a similar situation in that we produce
both PAOs and VHVIs. However, I think that the marketplace
often dictates the operations, and the companies often have
very little choice in the matter.”
Valvoline (Lexington, KY), which
declines to detail the type of base oil technology it uses,
continues to advertise its VR1 Racing Synthetic Motor Oil
as a “blend of thermally stable base oils.”
VHVI refiners such as Chevron
Products, which holds the licensing rights to the hydroisomerization
technology (Isodewaxing), says they have seen an increase
in sales of Group IIIs based on “cost/performance balances.”
“We have seen a huge upswing in the sales activity of
our Group III base oils that could be measured in folds,”
says Lok. “Even with increased sales activity, many
in the industry are still in a gestation period, where additive
companies along with researchers are tinkering with the packages
and formulations to address this switch.” He says the
big driver for change is the cost/value tradeoff in all synthetic
lubricant segments. Specifically in the passenger car motor
oil (PCMO) segment, GF-3 offers a window of opportunity for
formulators to reevaluate their basestock choices because
reformulation will be necessary to meet the new performance
specifications, he says.
Pennzoil-Quaker State (Houston)
Product Manager James Newson told LW during an interview 2
months ago that the company is currently using PAOs to formulate
its full synthetic. “Since the beginning of this issue,
we have looked at every option at a very detailed level.”
He says. “And we have found some of the nonconventional
synthetics very intriguing.”
76 Lubricants (Costa Mesa, CA),
a marketer of synthetics both in the PCMO and industrial oil
segments of the industry, currently produces a “limited
slate of synthetics” formulated with PAOs. However the
company admits, research into the use of VHVI in ongoing.
“We will likely be offering such products in the near
future,” says Steve Tarbox, 76 Lubricants’ product
manager for engine oils and automatic transmission fluids
(ATFs). “Moving some existing product formulations from
PAO to Group III basestocks always requires additional testing
to both comply with any product licensing requirements (engine
oils and ATFs for example) and also to provide existing customers
the assurance and documentation that familiar products still
provide the full range of performance benefits they have come
to know and expect from their synthetic lubricant.”
Tarbox says adherence to American Petroleum Institute (API;
Washington) and ATF licensing practices also precludes 76
Lubricants from making changes in certain product families
without assuming significant test costs.
Petro-Canada, which initiated
the recent public marketing of VHVI synthetics, announced
on June 8 that it had completed the testing for its specialty
base fluid in a 5W-40 grade engine oil. The test was conducted
on a formulation designed to meet the VW 502/505 specification,
with 30% VHVI in place of PAO basestock.
“With this new certification,
we offer blenders an alternative specialty base fluid that
provides increased performance at a less expensive price,”
says Henry Fuchs, marketing manager for specialty base fluids
and automotive lubricants at Petro-Canada. Fuchs says the
company will continue to develop products that will meet specifications
in Europe.
As part of its claims, Petro-Canada
says the company uses “the unique patented HT Severe
Hydrocracking, Hydroisomerization and Hydro-Finishing process
to produce the clear, colorless base fluid that is 99.9% pure
and highly isoparaffinic.” The company also says the
“high-quality” base oil minimizes the effects
of aromatics, sulfur, and nitrogen impurities removed, and
balances a high viscosity index with low temperature fluidity
and oxidative and thermal stability. At press time, LW had
been unable to obtain a comment from Petro-Canada about marketing
strategies for its new product.
“I don’t expect
we will see the lubricant marketers advertising components
of the synthetic as we see here,” says Lok. “Marketers
are more interested in marketing the performance and their
brand.”
Mobil 1, whose PAO technology
was one of the many trade secrets that changed hands during
the merger between Exxon and Mobil, remains loyal to PAOs.
However, even ExxonMobil could not resist the appeal of competitive
pricing. It released a new synthetic blend that combines the
PAO technology with a “high-quality conventional oil”
in February of this year.
“Since Mobil has the most
experience with the PAO technology, their ability to manufacture
a blended, semi-synthetic product would probably offer them
some advantage in the automotive market,” says Jerry
Shelby, president of Lubrication Consultant and Lubrecon (Houston).
LW was unable to obtain comment from ExxonMobil about its
PAO technology by press time.
Mark Pernik, global business
manager for Chevron Chemical Company LLC, says his company
has not seen PAOs displaced out of PCMO applications, though
he admits Chevron Chemical is not a big player in the PCMO
market. “Still, the VWT4 standard in Europe has demonstrated
that PAO sales have not skewed and have in fact increased
in position,” says Pernik.
In addition, BP Amoco Chemicals’
Svoboda says, “We have seen some tempering of growth
for PAO in North America. We attribute this to the increasing
availability of Group IIIs. However, on an international level,
PAO demand continues to grow at a rapid pace. PAO in Europe
is more than double that of North America. Europe continues
to be a strong growth engine for PAO. This is based on the
European OEM (original equipment manufacturer) drive for higher
performance and by environmental considerations, such as emission
reduction and extended drain intervals.” He agrees with
Pernik that the PAO market remains strong in Europe and that
eventually the rest of the world will follow the higher performance
requirements established there.
The primary downside to the
NAD ruling and any resulting replacement of PAOs with VHVIs,
says Svoboda, “is that North American PCMO consumers
will not be getting the higher quality performance level offered
by the PAO. Despite claims of equivalent performance, PAO
continues to maintain its superior performance over Group
IIIs under extreme operating conditions, particularly with
regard to low-temperature performance and high-temperature
oxidative stability.”
Yet, when LW asked
several industry experts about the NAD ruling, their feelings
regarding market effects were mixed (LW, Oct. 1999, p. 30;
Nov. 1999, p. 35). A Castrol representative then stated the
VHVIs would be competitive with PAOs and that the consumer
would benefit from that competition.
A PAO expert disagreed, saying
the NAD decision would have minimal impact on the formulation
of synthetics. “The quality of Group III products in
inconsistent, and their physical properties are different
from one manufacturer to the next,” he says. If the
industry heads in the direction of replacing PAO with VHVI,
he says, “consumers will be misled and the high margin
niche that has been developed by present-day synthetics will
erode.”
Barrett Cupples, a consulting
scientist who worked with PAOs at Chevron Chemical for 20
years, cautions marketers against directly switching from
PAOs to VHVIs without adequate testing. “According to
API base oil guide lines, Group III stocks may not simply
be substituted for PAOs in motor oil formulation,” he
says. “Any switch will require extensive testing to
ensure that the final product fully meets the requirements
of that lubricant.”
Further downstream, the players
in the synthetic PCMO market – Castrol, Pannzoil-Quaker
State, and Valvoline – have each released reformulations
and new blends in the past several months. The reason for
this interest, according to one industry market analysis,
is the competitive nature of the market, the projection for
market growth, and the re-awakening of cost savings in blends.
“Though synthetics will
exhibit strong growth through the end of the 20th century,”
says The Freedonia Group, “higher prices in comparison
to traditional petroleum-based products, as well as competition
from lubricants formed from hydrocracking processing, will
limit their gains; however, the introduction of synthetic
blends will help offset the price disadvantage of synthetics
as blends offer higher performance than conventional lubricants
at a lower cost than full synthetics.”
Retail shelf prices have remained
constant despite changes in formulation. Mass merchandise
shelf prices for synthetic PCMOs average between $3 and $4
per quart. In the first quarter, the price for a quart of
Mobil 1 synthetic was approximately $4.09. The cost of Valvoline
SynPower was slightly higher, at $4.22.
“At an average price point
of $3.89 per quart for full-synthetic oil, these products
attract a small segment of users,” says Larry Solomon
of Valvoline. “Past trends indicate that the full-synthetic
market is a small segment. There is no reason to believe that
this will change in the future.”
Lok points out the synthetic
lubricant market is relatively price insensitive. “The
customers in this market are more willing to pay for the value
of the product, despite the cost,” he says. “In
contrast, the PCMO suppliers are continually looking for cost
efficiencies in their production, as long as it comes with
no sacrifice to product performance.”
Industrial Synthetics
Seek Extreme Operating Conditions
Trends in demand in the industrial
sector for synthetics differ from those in the automotive
oil market because of increasing requests for higher performance
and specialty products. According to The Freedonia Group,
the bulk of the synthetic market is composed of industrial
lubricants and demand for synthetic industrial lubricants
is forecast to increase 4.8% annually, to 72 million gallons
in 2003.
This growth has Equilon (Houston)
focusing its synthetic marketing on the industrial market.
Earl Blanchette told LW 2 months ago the company saw a bigger
growth in the industrial market for synthetics. The company,
as reported, introduced several new products within the past
year, including a new compressor oil.
Because of the drive for energy
efficiency, extended drains, and environmental factors in
this sector, marketers of industrial synthetics will have
to pay closer attention to the performance factors in formulation,
perhaps with more emphasis than in the automotive segment.
Industrial synthetic oils currently
us a variety of base oils, such as PAOs, diesters, polyalkylene
glycols (PAGs), and phosphate esters, among others. In hydraulic
applications, circulating oils, and turbine oils. some industrial
oil producers are looking at VHVI as a replacement for PAO.
Lok says, however, that increased
activity in this market also shows that the switch from PAOs
and VHVIs is happening. “Over the last year, sales of
Group III basestocks at Chevron Products have increased, particularly
into a wide variety of industrial oil applications.”
Much, if any, move from PAOs
to VHVIs in industrial synthetics may depend on the oxidation
stability factor. “If the high-VI stocks can obtain
the oxidation stability of a PAO with a comparable performance,
I think the industrial segment would really consider that
type of base oil as a replacement for conventional synthetics,
especially when you add the lower cost factor,” says
Shelby. “However, I just don’t see [VHVIs] making
as big a splash in the industrial segment as synthetics. They
will evolve into the market but will not be marketed in the
same way as synthetics are in the automotive sector”
He suggests consumers in colder climates will be more willing
to accept the VHVI formulation if they have viscometrics similar
to those of true synthetics.
But industrial synthetics in
general have not had the type of success that automotive synthetics
have had, according to Shelby. “The synthetics would
only be a factor for those applications where longer life,
high temperature, and reduced downtime are big factors,”
he says. “They don’t have as much of a foothold
in the industrial market as in automotive.”
Mobil, which formulates with
PAOs, diesters, and PAGs, does have the larger foothold in
the market, with its full line of gear oils, circulating oils,
and hydraulic oils. Houghton International (Valley Forge,
PA) also produces a glycol-based synthetic hydraulic fluid
(Houghsaf) that competes with the Mobil poduct.
Fire safety is a big issue in
the hydraulic market, emphasizing higher flash point and fire
point.
Another area of focus is the
environment, which Equilon is emphasizing in its marketing
of vegetable-based synthetics. Likewise, reported Chemical
Engineering in July, American Synthol (Roswell, GA) is
marketing its New Technology Synthetic Base (NTSB) stock by
boasting that it is more biodegradable and thermally stable
than PAO. According to Joe Green, president of American Synthol.
NTSB can be formulated to be comparable to PAO by using improved
stabilizers.
Conclusion
The synthetic market in general
has seen an active year of new blends, new product releases,
and formulation changes. It remains a market stricken by discrepancies
in market share, cost, and growth, but the word “synthetic”
retains the image of higher performance and product development.
Just as divided as the debate, market analysts are torn by
projections for growth and whether a big push for growth is
worthwhile given the size of the segment. There is little
doubt that a trend is appearing in the synthetic market, but
where that trend will go remains to be seen.
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